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New Home Stats – Wild
Ride |
Well the wild ride continues … and looks to have gotten
even wilder than imagined. This is being written as the ink is still drying
on the $700 billion Federal "Bailout" or "Rescue" plan. The Fed and the
Treasury Department are setting lots of parts and pieces into motion
designed to bring some greater stability to financial markets and at the
same time, encourage credit providers, including those in the business of
providing residential mortgages Only time and patience will tell if
these remedies will work their magic on Wall Street and Main Street. Of
course it’s important to recognize that one of the most significant factors
will be the impact on consumer confidence as it relates to general consumer
spending as well as interest in moving back into the real estate market.
While many facets of the economy have weakened in this third quarter of
2008, GDP is still running at a surprisingly "respectable pace" according to
David Seiders, Chief Economist for the National Association of Home
Builders. The primary challenges that remain include a tightening of credit
availability, existing inventory, and the continuing impact of foreclosure
properties in the market. At the same time, our conversations with
Certified New Home Specialists in many markets indicate positives in
contrast to the hardest-hit areas. In spite of the dark clouds, more are
calling their markets "fair" or "good" in contrast to more negativity
earlier this year. Seiders points to numerous economic factors that
have deteriorated, but concludes: "However, there is good news ― most of the
projected decline is behind us, and the growth potential from the cyclical
trough is immense."
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